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(6.4) Analysis Of Tungsten Market: High Market Stalls

Tungsten  market last week was smooth, both from the price, or from the  manufacturer's mentality, the market performance is very stable, the  main supply of tungsten products and demand are decreasing,  manufacturers sales and procurement needs will not be short-term After  the release, all major tungsten products are high stalemate, and the  market is underpowered for price increases. However, there is no  negative element. The market conditions throughout the week remain  buoyant.

Tungsten  ore prices showed signs of a slight increase. After two weeks, the  miners were not interested in low-cost shipments, and the profit space  was compressed. In addition, the smelting enterprises had sufficient  stocks and the demand for tungsten concentrates was limited, which also  led to tungsten concentrates. Restricted  shipments, which caused both ends of supply and demand to be deserted,  the 65-degree wolframite transaction price is still around 111,000/ton,  and the 60-degree price of wool does not include tax, which reaches  1.51-1.52 yuan. Miners have bullish sentiment.

APT  market high stalemate, manufacturers offer is still at 180,000 yuan /  ton, the market transactions also started around this price, but the  market transactions gradually decreased, the spot price is higher than  180,000 yuan / ton may also be traded, if it is futures, then the  downstream Acceptance  will not be strong, and now Jiangxi is still in environmental  protection inspections, environmental protection "review" to continue  inspections in the Quzhou region, so the smelter in Ganzhou City has not  started production. APT  prices rose in May. During one month, APT prices rose by 10,000  yuan/ton. The previous APT price exceeded 180,000 yuan/ton, which also  dates back to September last year. However, the difference is that at  that time. The  increase in APT price in this round was due to the pulling effect of  shortage of tungsten concentrate supply. At that time, APT price still  had the risk of upside down, but this time the price increase was driven  only by the shortage of APT. The shortage of APT was the impact of  environmental protection inspection. This time, the price increase of APT exceeded expectations, and the profits of manufacturers that can produce are very good. It  is understood that the smelters that have ceased production in the  Shuozhou region still do not know when to resume production. In the  short term, the impact on the market supply will not be significant, but  if the time is dragged down, supply will inevitably have a certain gap.  However,  some market participants have different views. They believe that the  impact of environmental inspections on the market is only amplified by  public opinion. Environmental protection has caused some manufacturers  to reduce their output, but it has also increased the output of some  other smelters. As a result, the output of the market has not been  imagined. It's so big.

At  the beginning of June, most manufacturers still maintained a stable  attitude. Environmental inspection remains an uncertain factor. If the  environmental impact disappears, the APT market and the tungsten  concentrate market may move into different trends. It  will be implemented, and the low-priced tungsten concentrate trade fair  will be reduced. The upper and lower reaches will find a balance point.  The focus of attention is on the forecasted average price of Wuzhou  Tungsten in June, the long-term price of large-scale tungsten  enterprises, and the resumption of production of the smelter in Chuzhou.  Happening.

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